Tue, Apr 9, 3:00pm

Combinatorial prediction of therapeutic perturbations using causally-inspired neural networks

As an alternative to target-driven drug discovery, phenotype-driven approaches identify compounds that counteract the overall disease effects by analyzing phenotypic signatures. Our study introduces a novel approach to this field, aiming to expand the search space for new therapeutic agents. We introduce PDGRAPHER, a causally-inspired graph neural network model designed to predict arbitrary perturbagens โ€“ sets of therapeutic targets โ€“ capable of reversing disease effects. Unlike existing methods that learn responses to perturbations, PDGRAPHER solves the inverse problem, which is to infer the perturbagens necessary to achieve a specific response โ€“ i.e., directly predicting perturbagens by learning which perturbations elicit a desired response. Experiments across eight datasets of genetic and chemical perturbations show that PDGRAPHER successfully predicted effective perturbagens in up to 9% additional test samples and ranked therapeutic targets up to 34% higher than competing methods. A key innovation of PDGRAPHER is its direct prediction capability, which contrasts with the indirect, computationally intensive models traditionally used in phenotype-driven drug discovery that only predict changes in phenotypes due to perturbations. The direct approach enables PDGRAPHER to train up to 30 times faster, representing a significant leap in efficiency. Our results suggest that PDGRAPHER can advance phenotype-driven drug discovery, offering a fast and comprehensive approach to identifying therapeutically useful perturbations.

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